Japan: good between the boxes

If this World Cup becomes a disappointingly defensive tournament with few sides playing proactively, Japan will be one of the sides praised for bucking the trend.
While Japan don’t always collect good results, they boast great technical quality in the midfield zone. The two most famous stars are Shinji Kagawa and Keisuke Honda, but arguably more important to Japan’s style of play are the two holding midfielders. While their partnership has sometimes been broken up in recent matches, the combination of Yashuito Endo and Makoto Hasebe has proved highly effective over the last few years, and this Japan side are capable of controlling matches against top-class opposition.
The problem is at either end, where Japan are guilty of needless defensive errors and wasteful shooting upfront, and there’s also the lack of physicality that has caused them problems at previous World Cups. However, they have a wily tactician in Alberto Zaccheroni, a man who famously insisted upon 3-4-3 wherever he went in Italy, but generally favours a standard 4-2-3-1 formation with Japan. His side plays at high intensity, even in friendly matches, although there’s a question mark about whether this will be possible in Brazil – they have a difficult schedule in hot conditions.
Midfield quality
Hasebe and Endo are a joy to watch. Both are excellent in possession although they play different roles – Hasebe is a holding midfielder who uses the ball extremely intelligently, spreading play to the flanks but also capable of penetrative through-balls for attackers. Endo, now 34, isn’t as mobile as he once was, but is quicker and more sudden with his movements and passing. There’s a chance Hotaru Yamaguchi could come into the side, however, primarily because he offers great energy.
Honda and Kagawa are both inconsistent performers, but are good at taking the ball on the run and driving towards goal before playing clever passes. Honda has played as a false nine, although he’ll probably start in the number ten role. Kagawa generally comes into play higher up the pitch, and he’s best when receiving possession between the lines with only the last line of defence to beat, producing either a pass or a quick burst of speed.

Japan's possible starting XI
Japan are at their most creative when Zaccheroni includes Hiroshi Kiyotake, too. He’s broadly considered similar to Honda and, in particular Kagawa. A lively, mobile player who gets on the ball whenever possible and attempts ambitious passes, his main shortcoming is the lack of a goal threat, especially when compared to Honda and Kagawa, who boast fine scoring records for Japan.
Goals?
That’s why Kiyotake probably won’t be used, because Zaccheroni knows the side lacks a clinical finisher, and therefore needs goalscoring potential from his attacking midfielders.
Therefore, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Shinji Okazaki fielded from the right flank, despite the fact he seems Japan’s best striker. His goalscoring rate at club level exploded this season, scoring 15 in 32 Bundesliga games for Mainz, having managed just ten goals in his previous two and a half campaigns combined. He’s a simple player, but works extremely hard and makes runs in behind the defence – maybe comparable to the way Pedro Rodriguez offers penetration when his teammates are keeping the ball relentlessly.
Yuya Osako seems likely to play upfront – his movement is good, although he looks lightweight and might not act as a reliable penalty box presence. It’s not clear what Zaccheroni is seeking from his frontman – a proper goalscorer, or someone capable of holding up the ball and bringing others into play. In truth, that’s probably because he doesn’t have a perfect player for either option – Yoichiro Kakitani seems a decent cross between the two roles, however.
It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Zaccheroni turn away from Osako if he doesn’t perform. He can use Okazaki upfront, or Honda as a false nine, and might even consider turning back to his favoured 3-4-3, which he’s tried in friendlies and in the 2011 Asian Cup. Again, that would basically involve Honda going upfront and another centre-back coming into the side.
Defence
The centre-backs aren’t entirely convincing either. Maya Yoshida hasn’t played much for Southampton this season, but he’s improved massively since his first few Premier League games, where he looked extraordinarily out of his depth. His positioning is good and he reads the game well, although he isn’t the best in the air. His partner should be Yasuyuki Konno, who is tidy enough in possession but not remotely commanding defensively, and is probably the side’s weak link.
It’s better news at full-back, though – Yuto Nagatomo and Atsuto Uchida are both brilliant. Nagatomo has tremendous energy and is brilliant in possession too, always collecting the ball on the run, taking on opponents with twists and turns and then sending crosses into the box – he can play the ball with either foot. Right-sided Uchida is less cultured but a similarly dangerous attacking threat, and more straightforward – he whips it into the box quickly. These two are really good footballers, and will ask questions of opposition wingers.
Conclusion
Aesthetically, Japan are a good side. They boast exciting playmakers, intelligent central midfielders and two really likeable, positive full-backs who scamper up and down the touchlines. If the aim of football was to dominate possession and get the ball into the final third, Japan would be perfect.
But the aim, of course, is to score more goals than you concede, and this is where Japan fall down. They’re not clinical enough, and they’re not resilient enough. Zaccheroni is a good manager and Japan will be well organised, but they probably won’t collect the results their dominance would suggest.
Quick guide
Coach: Alberto Zaccheroni. Former Serie A winner who took Japan to the Asian Cup in 2011. Very intelligent tactician capable of making game-changing substitutions.
Formation: 4-2-3-1, although Zaccheroni has a long-standing obsession with 3-4-3
Key player: Japan need someone who can score goals, and Okazaki can score goals.
Strength: In a purely technical sense, Japan are arguably in the top ten sides at this competition
Weakness: Basically, they’re poor in both penalty boxes
Key tactical question: Does Japan’s possession play hide their weaknesses?



Good read, agree for the most part except I was surprised there is no mention of Kakitani? I would have thought he was expected to start ahead of Osako and Okubo, even if his goal scoring has dramatically stalled since Forlan arrived at Cerezo Osaka. Seems to be one of the new Honda/Kagawa’s coming through, would expect him to attempt Europe soon.
Actually, you’re right – thanks. Wrote this one very early, before the Costa Rica game, where he seems to have done well. Have added something about him, cheers.
Easy for me as i follow just them and England, whilst you are writing up all 32 teams, look forward to the rest.
They remind me of Villarreal with the way they try to feed there playmakers between the lines and the way their fullbacks bomb forward. Exciting side.
I love these previews of tournaments, well done Zonal Marking. I’m a big fan of Uchida and would love to see him at Arsenal.
I don’t expect Osako to start. He is a good player and certainly not as lightweight as he looks though.
Love the previews and am very high on Japan’s chances. Really love what I have have seen from Kakitani (I have likened him to a young Torres in terms of skill set).
Seems Uchida will be on bench for H. SAKAI.
UCHIDA made quite a few mistakes last season.
I like watching Japan play, but I think they might struggle to get out of the group. Colombia are a better all round side, while Greece’s physicality could disrupt Japans game plan. I think a lot will depend on Honda becoming the main goal threat, or one of Japans up and coming talents taking the stage by storm. Their best performance could come against an unorganised Ivory Coast, where they could outpass their opponents and create opportunites against a weak defence.
Scoring some early goals will be all important for this Japan side, if they want to advance.
Japan truly got me into Soccer/Football (sorry I’m American I never know what to say) at the last world cup.
They are an extremely exciting team for someone who grew up with a negative opinion of football to watch.
I think Japan in this World Cup should come together well and have a 50/50 chance to get out of the group.
They’re a hardworking group that I can easily see blowing a 3-0 lead as well as coming back from a 3-0 deficit.
They try to score, they pass well, and they make creative runs.
As for the players in form I think it will dictate Zacs starting lineups.
Honda, although still a bit “off looking”, played well vs Zambia and is the key to this team. His turnstyle passing and sneaky runs into the middle are the key to the squad IMO.
Kagawa I think will have a monster tournament. He looked quick and impressive vs Costa Rica and has a desire to perform as well as possible.
Nagatomo is probably the best all around Japanese player and might sneak up on a good few players (although probably not Colombia considering he has a teammate on the squad).
I don’t know what Zac does with Kakitani, Okubo, Okazaki. Kakitani is young and in need of making a statement but Okubo and Okazaki are experienced and in incredible Goal Scoring form.
I have to think the first match vs the bigger Cote D’Ivoire (excuse my spelling) will see Okazaki up top and and Okubo on the Wing with a late sub of Kakitani at Striker.
Vs Columbia I could see giving the Older Okubo the sub role and putting kakitani up top with Okazaki on the wing. Although by this point they’ll probably have a good idea if they are advancing so who knows.
Vs Greece I think you go with the players who can produce the most chances (Obviously vs a squad that sits back). Kakitani might be the man to go to here considering he is more creative then Okubo and Okazaki. However if he’s being bullied he may exit quickly.
As for the midfield Endo has to play. The team thrives on creativity and Endo helps Honda free up a bit. Endo becomes Honda in the deeper midfield and Honda then has a chance to move forward.
The CBs are trouble IMO are Uchida has had some injury issues and hasn’t played much lately.
An exciting side for sure and one that could surprise some teams. IF they don’t make stupid mistakes I think they have a good chance. But stupid mistakes tend to kill a team without size at the back and whose Full backs? (RB/LB sorry soccer noob) push forward nearly the whole match.
Predictions:
Japan vs Cote D’Ivoire: Japan 3 Cote D’Ivoire 2
Japan vs Greece: Japan 2 Greece 1
Japan vs Colombia: Colombia 4 Japan 2
I do love Japan though so I could be completely wrong
I don’t think they’ll be shutout to say the least.
selfishly, I want Zac to play Okazaki further forward, with Kiyotake replacing him on the right. The team can play football well only lacks a killer edge up front. Okazaki’s energy can free up the attacking trio behind him.
One thing Zac has failed to do is provide the team with alternatives. At first, he insisted on introducing his 3-4-3, which didn’t go down well. And until recently, he didn’t experiment with new faces. As a result, we see a lot of familiar faces, but little improvement